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Home » News & Trends

Eby Promises to Freeze B.C. Car Insurance Through 2030 as Conservatives Challenge No-Fault System

Nate Brewer by Nate Brewer
October 9, 2026
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British Columbia’s auto-insurance system has moved to the centre of the provincial election campaign, with BC NDP Leader David Eby promising to keep basic ICBC rates frozen for another three years if his party is returned to government. The commitment would extend the existing freeze through spring 2030, creating a decade without an increase to the province-wide basic rate level.

The promise comes as interim BC Conservative Leader Lorne Doerkson challenges the system that made those lower rates possible. His party wants to replace B.C.’s Enhanced Care model with a hybrid approach that would restore access to the courts for people with serious injuries and potentially expand private competition. The debate leaves drivers facing a fundamental trade-off: how should B.C. balance predictable premiums with compensation and legal rights after a serious crash?

The Promise Would Extend the Basic Rate Freeze to Spring 2030

Eby announced on October 8 that an NDP government would maintain the current level of ICBC Basic insurance rates for another three years. Existing policy already keeps the basic rate unchanged through March 31, 2027, marking seven consecutive years without an increase. Extending that period through spring 2030 would take the freeze to approximately a decade. For households accustomed to rising costs for groceries, housing and vehicle repairs, the political appeal is obvious: one major recurring bill would have its underlying province-wide rate held steady.

There is an important qualification, however. Eby is promising to freeze Basic insurance rates, not every component of every driver’s renewal bill. ICBC also sells optional products such as collision and comprehensive coverage in competition with private insurers. Individual premiums can additionally be affected by driving history, who operates the vehicle, where it is kept, how it is used and applicable discounts. A basic-rate freeze therefore does not guarantee that every British Columbian will pay exactly the same amount in 2029 as today.

Enhanced Care Is Central to the NDP’s Affordability Argument

B.C.’s current system dates to May 2021, when ICBC moved from a litigation-heavy insurance model to Enhanced Care. Under the new structure, most people injured in crashes receive treatment, rehabilitation and income-replacement benefits regardless of who caused the collision. In exchange, the ability to sue another driver for injury compensation was largely removed except in limited circumstances. The government and ICBC argued that reducing legal expenses would allow a larger share of premium revenue to go toward benefits while lowering what motorists paid.

The initial financial impact was substantial. Provincial and ICBC figures say the transition reduced the average customer’s full-coverage personal auto insurance cost by approximately $496, or about 28%, at the time Enhanced Care was introduced. Basic rates have subsequently remained unchanged, while eligible customers have received five rebates totalling roughly $640 since the model began. Those figures form the backbone of Eby’s argument that the province can continue holding rates down without dismantling the public system.

ICBC Is Financially Stronger, but Its Costs Have Not Stopped Rising

The rate-freeze pledge is being made from a very different financial position than ICBC faced before the reforms. ICBC’s audited 2025-26 results show consolidated net income of approximately $1.52 billion. Its Basic insurance operation generated about $1.02 billion in net income, while the corporation’s capital position reached a Minimum Capital Test ratio of 255% at March 31, 2026. ICBC says its capital reserves are adequate to withstand significant financial shocks.

That does not mean holding rates unchanged indefinitely is effortless. Claims-incurred costs reached approximately $4.16 billion in 2025-26, increasing by $230 million from the previous fiscal year. ICBC specifically identified higher repair expenses, more complicated vehicle technology, parts and labour costs and a shortage of qualified repair technicians as continuing pressures. Modern vehicles can require expensive cameras, sensors and electronic systems to be repaired or calibrated after relatively ordinary collisions. A freeze through 2030 would therefore depend on ICBC continuing to absorb or offset those growing costs without weakening benefits or financial stability.

Conservatives Want to Restore a Path to the Courts

The competing Conservative vision became public through a September 29 letter from Doerkson to insurance and legal organizations. The letter said a Conservative government would replace the current no-fault arrangement with a hybrid model and introduce legislation within its first year. Its central promise is that people seriously injured in crashes would again have a route to seek damages through an independent court instead of relying almost entirely on benefits administered under Enhanced Care.

Doerkson has argued that affordable premiums and meaningful compensation do not have to be mutually exclusive. He has also said rates must be kept under control as the system changes. His letter stated that “everything is on the table,” including opening auto insurance to private competition, although the party has not yet released a fully costed insurance structure showing precisely how premiums, benefits, lawsuits and insurer participation would interact. That missing detail matters because different Canadian provinces described as having “hybrid” insurance systems use significantly different rules.

“No-Fault” Does Not Mean Nobody Is Held Responsible

The phrase “no-fault insurance” can create the impression that drivers are never considered responsible for crashes. That is not how Enhanced Care works. ICBC still determines responsibility, and an at-fault collision can affect what a driver pays for insurance. Traffic offences, criminal charges and other legal consequences also remain separate from the insurance benefits available to injured people. What changed in 2021 was primarily how injury compensation is delivered, not whether the province determines who caused a collision.

Under Enhanced Care, a pedestrian, cyclist, passenger or driver injured in a B.C. crash can qualify for care even when that person was responsible. Benefits include medical and rehabilitation treatment and, for qualifying people who cannot work, income replacement of up to 90% of net income based on a maximum gross income level of $122,500 as of 2026. Seriously and permanently injured people can also qualify for impairment payments. Support can continue over the long term when required, rather than depending on obtaining a court settlement first.

Cases Involving Serious Injuries Explain Why the Debate Has Not Gone Away

Lower premiums have not silenced criticism from people who believe standardized benefits cannot capture every consequence of a life-changing injury. Nanaimo artist Richard Broad, for example, publicly described being left with a permanent pink haze in his vision after a 2021 rear-end collision. ICBC’s impairment formula initially produced a zero impairment rating. The Civil Resolution Tribunal accepted that he suffered a permanent impairment but found that his condition did not qualify him for compensation under the applicable formula.

ICBC subsequently described the unusual case as an opportunity to examine possible improvements. Experiences like Broad’s help explain why the Conservative proposal can resonate even when the existing model has delivered lower premiums. For an ordinary driver who never experiences a serious collision, annual insurance cost may understandably dominate the issue. For someone dealing with a permanent injury, lost opportunities or circumstances that do not fit easily into prescribed benefit categories, the ability to have an individual case assessed by a court can feel much more important. The political argument is ultimately about both groups.

Private Competition Is More Complicated Than the Campaign Rhetoric Suggests

B.C. already has private automobile insurance competition—but not for the compulsory Basic policy. ICBC is required to provide universal Basic coverage, with rates regulated by the British Columbia Utilities Commission. Optional products, including collision and comprehensive coverage, can already be purchased from ICBC or competing private insurers. When Conservatives discuss opening the market further, the unanswered question is how much of the Basic insurance system would ultimately be exposed to private competition.

Comparisons with Alberta have become part of the campaign because Alberta relies heavily on private insurers. An Alberta-government-commissioned actuarial study using 2024 figures listed an actual average premium of approximately $2,015 in Alberta and $1,238 in British Columbia. A separate EY study commissioned by ICBC also found B.C. generally less expensive than Alberta across the driver profiles it examined. Neither comparison proves that private insurance itself explains the entire difference; benefit levels, regulation, demographics and claims environments also vary. Alberta is itself moving toward a care-first insurance structure beginning in 2027.

B.C. Was Already Reviewing Enhanced Care Before the Election Fight

The choice being presented during the campaign is not occurring in a policy vacuum. When Enhanced Care was created, provincial legislation required a review within five years. The legislature appointed a special committee in February 2026 to examine how the model is performing, hear from experts and affected British Columbians, and recommend improvements. ICBC appeared before the committee in May to explain the system and discuss areas where it could evolve.

That review has now been paused because of the provincial election and is expected to resume afterward. Eby himself has acknowledged that Enhanced Care is not perfect, while saying improvements to compensation can be made without abandoning the model responsible for reducing insurance costs. That creates an important middle ground in the debate. The real policy choices are not necessarily limited to preserving every current rule or returning completely to the pre-2021 system. Legislators could adjust compensation formulas, dispute mechanisms, benefits or treatment rules while retaining the broader care-based structure.

A Decade-Long Freeze Would Be Significant, but It Is Still an Election Promise

For drivers, the most immediate number is 2030. A decade without an increase in the underlying Basic rate would be unusual at a time when repair costs, wages and vehicle technology are becoming more expensive. ICBC’s finances provide Eby with room to make that pledge: the corporation finished 2025-26 profitable and well-capitalized. Yet its own financial reporting warns that claims inflation, repair complexity and older legal claims remain real expenses that must be managed.

There is also a procedural distinction between a campaign announcement and an implemented insurance rate. ICBC Basic rates are regulated through B.C.’s insurance framework and the B.C. Utilities Commission, while government directives can significantly shape how rate applications are handled. The next government will ultimately decide which insurance model it wants to maintain and how that system will be implemented. By October 24, British Columbians are effectively being offered two philosophies: preserve Enhanced Care and lock in its affordability gains, or reopen the system to greater court access in pursuit of more individualized compensation.

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