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Home » News & Trends

B.C. Conservatives Win 64 Seats, Putting ICBC Insurance Changes and EV-Quota Repeal on the Agenda

Nate Brewer by Nate Brewer
October 25, 2026
Reading Time: 6 mins read
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British Columbia’s political map changed dramatically on election night, and two policies affecting millions of drivers are now positioned for major reconsideration. Preliminary results from Elections BC show the Conservative Party leading or elected in 64 of the province’s 93 ridings, compared with 27 for the BC NDP and two for the Greens. The Conservatives captured roughly 48% of the popular vote.

That majority gives premier-designate Lorne Doerkson substantial room to pursue promises involving auto insurance and vehicle policy. Among the most consequential are changes to ICBC’s Enhanced Care system, greater insurance competition and an end to B.C.’s zero-emission vehicle sales quota. None takes effect simply because the election is over, but the political barrier to implementing them has become considerably smaller.

A 64-Seat Majority Gives the Conservatives a Wide Policy Runway

The scale of the Conservative victory is striking when compared with the previous provincial election. In 2024, the party won 44 of 93 seats while the NDP secured the bare minimum 47 seats needed for a majority. Based on the latest preliminary 2026 count, the Conservatives have climbed to 64 seats while the NDP has fallen to 27. With 47 seats required for control of the legislature, the incoming government would have a cushion of 17 seats above the majority line.

The popular vote tells a similar story. Elections BC reported the Conservatives at 48.05%, the NDP at 37.38% and the Greens at 10.97%, with about 1.8 million votes considered and preliminary turnout slightly above 48%. Those numbers remain preliminary because some mail, absentee and other ballots are counted later, with final counting scheduled for November 6. Still, the size of the Conservative lead means the broader political outcome is clear: a party that came within three seats of government in 2024 now has the numbers to pursue an ambitious legislative agenda.

ICBC Is Headed for an Overhaul, Not an Immediate Demolition

One of the first areas where that majority could become visible is auto insurance. B.C.’s current Enhanced Care model began in May 2021 and provides care and recovery benefits to people injured in crashes regardless of fault. Most accident-related lawsuits were removed from the system, with ICBC arguing that eliminating much of the litigation expense allowed more money to go toward benefits while reducing insurance premiums.

The financial change was substantial when the system launched. ICBC says most customers renewing full Basic and optional personal coverage saved an average of about $490 during the first year compared with the previous model. Basic rates were reduced by 15% in 2021 and have remained without an overall increase since then; the existing rate framework runs through March 31, 2027. The Conservatives did not campaign on eliminating ICBC. Instead, their plan calls for retaining the Crown insurer while changing how serious injury claims are handled and potentially giving motorists more choices about where insurance coverage is purchased.

The Proposed Hybrid System Would Keep No-Fault for Most Crashes

The Conservative proposal is best described as a hybrid rather than a complete return to B.C.’s pre-2021 insurance system. The party’s final campaign platform says no-fault coverage would remain in place for the “vast majority” of claims. The significant exception would involve people with catastrophic injuries, who would regain access to legal representation and potentially additional compensation outside the existing administrative system.

That distinction became clearer as the campaign progressed. A September 29 letter from Doerkson to insurance and legal organizations promised legislation within the government’s first year and said accident victims would regain the ability to pursue compensation for serious injuries. The eventual platform emphasized catastrophic cases and proposed caps on lawyers’ fees to prevent legal costs from consuming settlements or pushing premiums higher. That means ordinary fender-benders and routine injury claims are unlikely to suddenly return to court. The major policy battle will instead revolve around where the government draws the line between claims remaining inside Enhanced Care and injuries serious enough to qualify for the proposed legal route.

Private Competition Could Expand, but ICBC Is Not Slated to Disappear

Another major question is what the Conservatives mean by greater insurance competition. B.C. already has a mixed system. Every registered vehicle must currently carry Basic Autoplan coverage supplied by ICBC, while motorists can purchase optional products such as collision, comprehensive and additional third-party liability coverage from either ICBC or private insurers. Private competition therefore already exists; it simply does not extend to the mandatory Basic policy.

The Conservative platform promises to “expand consumer choice where competition can improve price and service” while specifically preserving ICBC as a public option. Doerkson’s earlier letter went further, saying everything was on the table, including opening auto insurance to private competition. What remains unresolved is whether that eventually means competition for mandatory Basic insurance itself, a larger private role in optional coverage, or a redesigned structure somewhere between those possibilities. For a typical household with two vehicles, that distinction could matter far more than the political language. The structure ultimately chosen will determine whether motorists merely see additional optional products or face an entirely different way of shopping for their core insurance.

Catastrophic-Injury Claims Could Once Again Reach the Courts

The human side of the insurance debate is most visible in severe crashes. Under Enhanced Care, lawsuits for compensation have generally been prohibited since May 1, 2021, although limited exceptions remain, including certain situations involving criminal convictions. Instead, injured people receive benefits through ICBC, including treatment, rehabilitation and income-replacement support.

Those benefits can be significant. ICBC currently provides income replacement based on up to 90% of net income, calculated using gross earnings of up to $122,500, with optional top-up coverage available for higher earners. For catastrophic permanent injuries, impairment compensation can reach approximately $313,918 under 2026 benefit levels, while medically necessary care and recovery benefits can continue without an overall lifetime limit. The Conservatives argue that the most seriously injured people should also have access to independent legal representation and the possibility of fuller compensation. How “catastrophic” injury is ultimately defined, which damages could be pursued and how legal fees would be capped will therefore become some of the most important details in any future ICBC legislation.

EV-Quota Repeal Would Go Beyond Changes B.C. Already Made in 2026

Vehicle policy is the second major area poised for change. The Conservative platform explicitly promises to end B.C.’s zero-emission vehicle sales quota, arguing that families and businesses should be able to choose the vehicles that work for them. The pledge targets the provincial framework requiring automakers to supply increasing numbers of battery-electric, plug-in hybrid and other qualifying zero-emission vehicles.

Importantly, the outgoing NDP government had already weakened that framework before the election. Earlier in 2026, B.C. amended the Zero-Emission Vehicles Act to reduce its 2035 provincial ZEV target from 100% of applicable new vehicles to 75%. It also removed the previous statutory prohibition that would have prevented sales of new internal-combustion vehicles beginning in 2035. The remaining system uses targets, regulatory compliance ratios and tradable credits to influence the mix of vehicles manufacturers supply. That means the Conservative promise is not merely a repeal of the old 100%-by-2035 rule; that rule had already been relaxed. Ending the quota would represent a further retreat from the province’s legislated supply requirements.

B.C.’s EV Market Is Already Large Enough to Outlive the Mandate

Repealing a sales requirement would not mean electric vehicles disappear from B.C. roads or dealership lots. The province has developed one of Canada’s largest EV markets. B.C.’s 2025 Zero-Emission Vehicle Update recorded 36,592 new light-duty ZEV registrations during the year, representing 17.9% of 204,549 new light-duty registrations. That share was lower than the 22.4% recorded in 2024, illustrating how quickly demand can move when incentives, prices and economic conditions change.

The installed fleet is much larger. The provincial government estimated in April 2026 that nearly 230,000 ZEVs were already operating in B.C. As of January 1, the province also reported more than 8,800 public charging ports, including more than 2,400 fast-charging ports. Statistics Canada subsequently found renewed ZEV registration growth during 2026, including increases across the B.C. population centres it tracked in the second quarter. For automakers and dealers, the practical question is therefore not whether EVs retain a market, but whether removing mandatory sales requirements changes how many models are allocated to B.C., how aggressively they are priced and how quickly the province’s EV share grows.

What B.C. Drivers Should Watch Next

Despite the size of the Conservative victory, neither insurance policies nor vehicle rules changed on election night. Elections BC’s final count is still pending, and a new government must be sworn in before it can begin implementing its program. Doerkson’s pre-election insurance commitment contemplated legislation within the first year of a Conservative government, suggesting the ICBC overhaul could become an early legislative priority rather than an overnight administrative change.

There are also institutional constraints that matter. ICBC’s mandatory Basic insurance rates are regulated by the British Columbia Utilities Commission, and the existing framework keeps the overall Basic rate unchanged through March 31, 2027. Changing Enhanced Care would require government action, while eliminating the ZEV mandate would require changes to the legislation, regulations or both that currently establish the provincial framework. The first concrete signs will therefore come through cabinet appointments, mandate letters, a throne speech and actual bills placed before the legislature. With 64 seats, the Conservatives appear to have the votes to make substantial changes. The remaining questions are how far they go, how quickly they move and what the final policies ultimately cost—or save—B.C. drivers.

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